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BOJ to adjust 10-year bond yield target in Q1 2019 - MS

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to change their 10-year target early next year, according to analysts for Morgan Stanley (MS) MUFG Securities.

Key highlights:

  • MS anticipates core CPI for Japan (excl. fresh food and energy) to reach 1% in Q1 2019.
  • Strengthening Yen has pushed back expectations of 1% core CPI.
  • BOJ to adjust bond yield target in Q1 2019.
  • The previous estimate was Q3 2018.
  • The adjustment comes following key deputy gov. appointments at BOJ.
  • BOJ expected to change target to 'around 0.15%', from the current 'around 0%'.
  • MS MUFG interpreting this as a band from 0% to 0.3%.

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