USD/JPY to stay above 100.00 - Socgen
Kit Juckes, economist at Socgen explained the US/Japanese real 10year yield spread moved back out to 50bp after the payroll data, but just eye-balling the yield spread and USD/JPY suggests we'd need a 20bp move up in US real yields to have any chance of seeing USD/JPY 110.
Key Quotes:
"My hopes of that happening haven't revived on these figures, and as for the 50bp move in relative yields that would point the way to USD/JPY120... that's going to take better US data and a massive change of heart by the BOJ. Maybe a risk-friendly set of US numbers is enough to keep USD/JPY from breaking 100 for now, but the most we can hope for is that a 100-105 range is enough to give the Nikkei a bid...
USD/JPY and real yields - maybe enough to stay above 100."