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EUR/GBP holds near 0.85 as UK outlook softens – Danske Bank

EUR/GBP remained close to the 0.85 mark during yesterday's session, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.

Muted UK growth and inflation risks weigh on BoE

"Price action continues to be dominated by risk appetite as domestic data releases are scarce the coming week ahead. While retail sales continue to surprise to the topside the past months, PMI data hints at more tentative signs of a more stagflationary environment in the UK."

"Service sector slipped back into the contractionary territory while activity in the manufacturing sector remains muted. Price pressures increased in both input and output priced. The more muted growth outlook and higher price components spells trouble for the BoE."

"There seems to be a dovish tone within the MPC, which we expect repeated at the meeting next week. We forecast EUR/GBP towards 0.88 on a 12 month horizon."

BoJ is going to sit this one out – Commerzbank

While we enjoy the bank holiday tomorrow morning, the Bank of Japan will be holding its May monetary policy meeting. Having raised its key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5% in January, the Bank of Japan then decided to pause in March.
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CNY: Some early soft spots – Commerzbank

The official purchasing managers' indices for the Chinese economy were published this morning, revealing the first signs of the impact of the prohibitive US tariffs. The PMI for the manufacturing sector fell by 1.5 points to 49.0, its lowest level since late 2023.
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